Mediaco Holding Stock Performance

MDIA Stock  USD 0.62  0.07  12.73%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.86, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Mediaco Holding are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Mediaco Holding is expected to outperform it slightly. At this point, Mediaco Holding has a negative expected return of -0.55%. Please make sure to verify Mediaco Holding's treynor ratio, kurtosis, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if Mediaco Holding performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Mediaco Holding has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain somewhat strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
1
MediaCo Drives the Future of Multiplatform Media 1 in Broadcast TV Growth and Double-Digit Radio Expansion Across Top Markets
11/24/2025
2
MediaCos EstrellaTV to Broadcast and Stream Tigres vs. Toluca in the Liga MX Finals This Thursday
12/09/2025
3
MediaCo Names Katz Television Group Exclusive National Sales Partner as EstrellaTV Delivers Record Growth
12/17/2025
4
MediaCo Receives Nasdaq Delisting Warning As Stock Trades Under 1. - Insideradio.com
12/26/2025
5
MediaCos HOT 97 Launches New Morning Show HOT 97 Mornings with Mero, Premiering Tuesday, January 13, 6AM10AM
01/12/2026
6
MediaCo Announces Historic Audience Growth for EstrellaTV in 2025
01/20/2026
7
MediaCos EstrellaTV to Televise and Stream Tigres and FC Jurez Home Matches Throughout Liga MX Clausura 2026
01/22/2026
8
Can MediaCo Holding Inc. stock double in the next year - 2025 Valuation Update Precise Trade Entry Recommendations - mfd.ru
01/27/2026
9
MediaCos EstrellaTV Extends Breakout Momentum to Start 2026, Delivering Category-Leading Prime Time Growth
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow7.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-14.2 M

Mediaco Holding Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  92.00  in Mediaco Holding on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (30.00) from holding Mediaco Holding or give up 32.61% of portfolio value over 90 days. Mediaco Holding is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.7057% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 42% of stocks are less volatile than Mediaco, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mediaco Holding is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.05 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Mediaco Holding Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mediaco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.62 90 days 0.62 
about 80.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mediaco Holding to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.69 (This Mediaco Holding probability density function shows the probability of Mediaco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mediaco Holding has a beta of -0.86. This indicates Additionally Mediaco Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mediaco Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mediaco Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mediaco Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.635.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.585.30
Details

Mediaco Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mediaco Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mediaco Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mediaco Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mediaco Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.5
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.86
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Mediaco Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mediaco Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mediaco Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mediaco Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mediaco Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mediaco Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mediaco Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 95.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.3 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (7.95 M).
Mediaco Holding currently holds about 6.53 M in cash with (19.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.31.
Mediaco Holding has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: MediaCos EstrellaTV Extends Breakout Momentum to Start 2026, Delivering Category-Leading Prime Time Growth

Mediaco Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mediaco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mediaco Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mediaco Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.4 M

Mediaco Holding Fundamentals Growth

Mediaco Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mediaco Holding, and Mediaco Holding fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mediaco Stock performance.

About Mediaco Holding Performance

By analyzing Mediaco Holding's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Mediaco Holding's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Mediaco Holding has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Mediaco Holding has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.03)(0.03)
Return On Capital Employed(0.10)(0.11)
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity(0.08)(0.07)

Things to note about Mediaco Holding performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mediaco Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mediaco Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mediaco Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mediaco Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mediaco Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mediaco Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 95.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.3 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (7.95 M).
Mediaco Holding currently holds about 6.53 M in cash with (19.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.31.
Mediaco Holding has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: MediaCos EstrellaTV Extends Breakout Momentum to Start 2026, Delivering Category-Leading Prime Time Growth
Evaluating Mediaco Holding's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mediaco Holding's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Mediaco Holding's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mediaco Holding's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mediaco Holding's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mediaco Holding's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mediaco Holding's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mediaco Holding's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mediaco Holding's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mediaco Holding's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mediaco Holding's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Mediaco Stock analysis

When running Mediaco Holding's price analysis, check to measure Mediaco Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mediaco Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Mediaco Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mediaco Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mediaco Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mediaco Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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